摩根大通首席经济学家表示美联储本月应该降息0.5个百分点fxcue.com

摩根大通（JPMorgan）的迈克尔·费罗利（Michael Feroli）认为，美联储应该在9月会议上降息50个基点。该行首席美国经济学家周四在接受CNBC节目采访时表示:“我们认为，他们应该尽快回到中性（利率）状态，这是一个很好的理由。”他补充说，央行中性政策设定的最高点是4%左右，比目前的水平低150个基点。“我们认为，他们有充分理由加快降息步伐。”根据CME FedWatch Tool的数据，交易员预计美联储将联邦基金利率目标区间从目前的5.25% - 5.50%下调0.5个百分点至4.75% - 5%的可能性为39%。如果降息0.25个百分点至5%至5.25%的区间，则降息的几率约为61%。“如果你等到通胀率已经回到2%，你可能已经等得太久了。”费罗利说。“虽然通胀仍略高于目标，但失业率可能略高于他们认为与充分就业相符的水平。现在，就业和通胀都有风险，如果其中一种风险正在形成，你总是可以逆转方向的。”他发表上述言论之际，8月份是自2021年1月以来私营部门就业增长最疲弱的一个月。在此之前，7月份的失业率小幅上升至4.3%，引发了被称为“萨姆规则”（Sahm Rule）的经济衰退指标。尽管如此，费罗利说，他不认为美国经济正在“解体”。“如果经济正在崩溃，我认为在下次联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）会议上，你有理由将利率下调50个基点以上。”这位经济学家继续说道。美联储将在9月17日至18日就利率走向做出决定。

摩根大通首席经济学家表示美联储本月应该降息0.5个百分点

分析：瑞郎套息交易充满避险反弹风险

无视加拿大央行降息的加元疯狂反弹将持续

英伟达表示它没有收到美国司法部的反垄断传票

美国7月份职位空缺减少幅度大于预期这是劳动力市场走软的又一迹象

疲软的制造业数据引发了对美国经济放缓的担忧

标准普尔500指数连续下跌华尔街在9月份艰难开局

摩根大通首席经济学家表示美联储本月应该降息0.5个百分点

英伟达股价暴跌近10% 拖累芯片类股创下自2020年3月以来最糟糕的一天

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Spot gold trading profits are eliminated, and today's trading is over.

The gold market is not suitable for chasing long positions, selling at high levels is the main strategy, and taking profits from selling orders is eliminated.

Gold sell orders take profit and exit, the entry point is not very good, continue to wait for opportunities.

Crude oil and gold trading took profit, earning $15751.

Trading of USDJPY, EURUSD, and XAUUSD took profit and ended today.

This week, gold trading has maintained one order per day, with 4 orders profitable and 1 order losing, resulting in a total profit of 651 US dollars. We will continue to maintain this trend.

This week, foreign exchange gold trading incurred a total loss of $7855, with trading varieties including EURUSD, USDJPY, GBPUSD, and gold. It has been losing money for two consecutive weeks Come on next week, turn losses into profits.

This week, gold trading saw a slight profit of $130, and gold prices continue to hit new highs. If the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, gold prices will continue to hit new highs.

This week, the gold trading made a total profit of $1437, and the gold price hit a new historical high. The market will continue to be strong next week, so be cautious in selling and close as soon as possible.

This week, the gold market has experienced a strong rise, reaching a historic high, with a total loss of $7131 in trading for the week.

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摩根大通首席经济学家表示 美联储本月应该降息0.5个百分点

﻿分析：瑞郎套息交易充满避险反弹风险

﻿无视加拿大央行降息的加元疯狂反弹将持续

英伟达表示它没有收到美国司法部的反垄断传票

美国7月份职位空缺减少幅度大于预期 这是劳动力市场走软的又一迹象

疲软的制造业数据引发了对美国经济放缓的担忧

标准普尔500指数连续下跌 华尔街在9月份艰难开局

摩根大通首席经济学家表示 美联储本月应该降息0.5个百分点

英伟达股价暴跌近10% 拖累芯片类股创下自2020年3月以来最糟糕的一天

Please sign in

Trader

Spot gold trading profits are eliminated, and today's trading is over.

The gold market is not suitable for chasing long positions, selling at high levels is the main strategy, and taking profits from selling orders is eliminated.

Gold sell orders take profit and exit, the entry point is not very good, continue to wait for opportunities.

Crude oil and gold trading took profit, earning $15751.

Trading of USDJPY, EURUSD, and XAUUSD took profit and ended today.

This week, gold trading has maintained one order per day, with 4 orders profitable and 1 order losing, resulting in a total profit of 651 US dollars. We will continue to maintain this trend.

This week, foreign exchange gold trading incurred a total loss of $7855, with trading varieties including EURUSD, USDJPY, GBPUSD, and gold. It has been losing money for two consecutive weeks Come on next week, turn losses into profits.

This week, gold trading saw a slight profit of $130, and gold prices continue to hit new highs. If the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, gold prices will continue to hit new highs.

This week, the gold trading made a total profit of $1437, and the gold price hit a new historical high. The market will continue to be strong next week, so be cautious in selling and close as soon as possible.

This week, the gold market has experienced a strong rise, reaching a historic high, with a total loss of $7131 in trading for the week.

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摩根大通首席经济学家表示美联储本月应该降息0.5个百分点

分析：瑞郎套息交易充满避险反弹风险

无视加拿大央行降息的加元疯狂反弹将持续

美国7月份职位空缺减少幅度大于预期这是劳动力市场走软的又一迹象

标准普尔500指数连续下跌华尔街在9月份艰难开局

摩根大通首席经济学家表示美联储本月应该降息0.5个百分点