美国零售销售超过预期消费者继续推动经济增长fxcue.com

【fxcue】-美国3月份零售额增幅超过预期，2月份零售额被上修，显示出强劲的消费者需求继续推动着出人意料的强劲经济。美国商务部(Commerce Department)周一公布的数据显示，未经通胀调整的零售采购价值较2月份增长0.7%。这与彭博社调查经济学家的最高估计相符。除去汽车和汽油，销售额增长了1%。用于计算国内生产总值(GDP)的所谓对照组销售额增长1.1%，为去年初以来的最大增幅。该措施不包括食品服务、汽车经销商、建筑材料商店和加油站。这对第一季度GDP来说可能是个好兆头，尤其是在2月份数据被上调之后。报告显示，进入第二季度，美国消费者支出将保持强劲势头。只要强劲的劳动力市场支撑着家庭需求，通胀就有可能在经济中根深蒂固，并进一步推迟美联储的降息行动。凯投宏观(Capital Economics)副首席美国经济学家安德鲁·亨特(Andrew Hunter)在一份报告中表示:“除了最近就业增长的复苏外，消费的持续弹性是怀疑美联储将在开始降息前等待更长时间的另一个理由。我们现在认为，美联储在9月份之前不会降息。”报告公布后，美国国债收益率上升。交易员们继续认为，美联储的首次降息将在今年下半年很久以后才会开始。零售数据主要反映的是商品支出，而商品支出在消费者总支出中所占比例相对较小。本月晚些时候将公布的数据将提供3月份经通胀调整后的商品和服务支出的更多细节。周一的数据显示，餐馆和酒吧的消费增长了0.4%，这是报告中唯一的服务业类别。杂货店的收入创下了8月份以来的最大涨幅。与此同时，其他数据显示，消费者正变得更加捉襟见肘。费城联邦储备银行的一份报告显示，去年第四季度，美国信用卡拖欠率创下历史最高纪录。

美国零售销售超过预期消费者继续推动经济增长

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如果原油价格达到每桶100美元韩元兑美元的汇率将跌至1400韩元

美国零售销售超过预期消费者继续推动经济增长

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Gold first fell close to 2602 or 2594 and bought long, then rose close to 2624 or yesterday's high and sold short. Crude oil still tends to fluctuate mainly today, buying long below 68.8 or yesterday's low, and selling short above yesterday's high or 70.7.

Today, gold is mainly focused on rebound short selling, with a short-term focus on the resistance line of 2628-2633. If it does not break through, short selling can be done. The short-term focus below is on the first-line support of 2600-2595, and it is advisable to buy more lightly.

Short term focus on the resistance line of 70.5-71.0 above crude oil, and short-term focus on the support line of 68.4-67.9 below.

Spot gold is expected to rebound to 2620, short selling with a loss of 2627, short looking at 2606-00, target 2590-86; Short selling at 2631 with a loss of 2638, the target remains the same.

Buy more spot gold for profit and take profit

Spot gold operation strategy: 1. Gold rebounds 2638-2642, sell empty, stop loss 2651, target line 2588-2593; 2. Gold retraces to buy long at 2586-2593, stop loss at 2575, target at 2630-35 line;

Spot gold 2630 short, target 2618, stop loss 2635. Buy long at 2618-20, stop loss at 2612, target at 2630-40.

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美国零售销售超过预期 消费者继续推动经济增长

马斯克的xAI融资60亿美元 挑战OpenAI

特斯拉将在全球裁员10%以上 阅读埃隆·马斯克的备忘录

挪威主权财富基金负责人称降息步伐令市场失望

如果原油价格达到每桶100美元 韩元兑美元的汇率将跌至1400韩元

美国零售销售超过预期 消费者继续推动经济增长

日本对日元不温不火的警告在IMF年度活动和G20财长会议前引发了新一轮的疲软

今年第一季度中国经济增长5.3% 超出预期

比特币矿工在“减半”之前将设备算力提升至创纪录水平

Please sign in

Trader

Gold first fell close to 2602 or 2594 and bought long, then rose close to 2624 or yesterday's high and sold short. Crude oil still tends to fluctuate mainly today, buying long below 68.8 or yesterday's low, and selling short above yesterday's high or 70.7.

Today, gold is mainly focused on rebound short selling, with a short-term focus on the resistance line of 2628-2633. If it does not break through, short selling can be done. The short-term focus below is on the first-line support of 2600-2595, and it is advisable to buy more lightly.

Short term focus on the resistance line of 70.5-71.0 above crude oil, and short-term focus on the support line of 68.4-67.9 below.

Spot gold is expected to rebound to 2620, short selling with a loss of 2627, short looking at 2606-00, target 2590-86; Short selling at 2631 with a loss of 2638, the target remains the same.

Buy more spot gold for profit and take profit

Spot gold operation strategy: 1. Gold rebounds 2638-2642, sell empty, stop loss 2651, target line 2588-2593; 2. Gold retraces to buy long at 2586-2593, stop loss at 2575, target at 2630-35 line;

Spot gold 2630 short, target 2618, stop loss 2635. Buy long at 2618-20, stop loss at 2612, target at 2630-40.

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美国零售销售超过预期消费者继续推动经济增长

马斯克的xAI融资60亿美元挑战OpenAI

特斯拉将在全球裁员10%以上阅读埃隆·马斯克的备忘录

如果原油价格达到每桶100美元韩元兑美元的汇率将跌至1400韩元

美国零售销售超过预期消费者继续推动经济增长