做空特斯拉的对冲基金刚刚损失了50多亿美元fxcue.com

自从唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）赢得大选以来，坚持做空特斯拉公司（Tesla）的对冲基金已经损失了数十亿美元，因为他们感受到了当选总统和埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk）之间特殊关系的影响。根据彭博社基于S3 Partners编制的数据进行的计算，在选举日至上周五收盘期间做空特斯拉的对冲基金账面损失至少52亿美元。追踪500多家对冲基金头寸的Hazeltree提供的另一份数据显示，随着许多同行在过去4个月解除了对特斯拉的空头押注，它们是一个不断缩小的被困群体中的一员。这一立场的调整与马斯克在7月13日支持特朗普的时间一致。特斯拉首席执行官已经成为特朗普最大的亿万富翁粉丝。马斯克利用自己世界首富的地位为特朗普的竞选活动注入了活力，使他成为2024年大选的最大捐赠者之一。把自己的命运押在候任总统身上，现在让马斯克获得了一个有政治影响力的职位，因为特朗普明确表示，他计划奖励忠诚的人。对冲基金管理公司Clean Energy Transition的首席执行官佩尔·莱坎德（Per Lekander）表示，他“在大选前略微做空了特斯拉”。他设法将头寸减持了“相当多”，这意味着他的损失最终“相当小”。“但是我们损失了一些钱。”他说。自11月5日美国大选以来，特斯拉股价上涨了近30%，市值增加了2000多亿美元。截至上周五，该公司的估值超过了1万亿美元。在这种背景下，此前建立空头头寸的对冲基金自那以来纷纷改弦易辙。Hazeltree提供的每周数据显示，截至11月6日，只有7%的对冲基金净做空特斯拉，低于7月初的17%。也就是说，只有8%的人净做多该股。事实证明，特斯拉是一只值得做空的危险股票，尽管电动汽车行业的其他公司正面临贸易紧张局势、消费者需求低迷和竞争加剧等不利因素。今年7月，Hazeltree追踪的对冲基金中，有近五分之一做空了特斯拉，但在该公司公布的销售数据引发股价大幅上涨后，对冲基金陷入了严重的措手不及。与此同时，根据KraneShares Electric Vehicles and Future Mobility Index ETF的表现，整个电动汽车行业今年已经下跌了12%以上。在此之前，2023年的跌幅约为9%。相比之下，特斯拉在去年市值翻了一倍多之后，在2024年上涨了约30%。特斯拉的表现也在绿色领域的其他股票中脱颖而出。随着市场消化特朗普获胜的消息，从风能到太阳能的可再生能源股票开始下跌，人们担心特朗普会兑现他削减清洁能源激励措施的承诺。莱坎德说，一年多以后，他预计就连特斯拉也会感受到特朗普反气候政策的刺痛。尽管当选总统特朗普和马斯克之间存在联系，但“特朗普的胜利对特斯拉这家汽车公司来说是非常负面的。”莱坎德说。在大约12到18个月内，特朗普政府将“取消特斯拉真正获胜的许多补贴”。马斯克一直在游说，希望能在特朗普政府中发挥作用，减少他所谓的政府官僚主义和浪费。特朗普很快就接受了这个想法，公开提出了为特斯拉首席执行官设立“成本削减秘书”的想法。法国巴黎银行资产管理公司（BNP Paribas Asset Management）的投资组合经理爱德华·李斯（Edward Lees）表示，马斯克“现在的影响力可以说是科技界和华盛顿之间的一座桥梁。”李斯表示，他“在不同时期持有特斯拉股份”，但没有详细说明目前的立场。马斯克在当时的总统候选人特朗普今年7月遭遇暗杀后公开表示支持特朗普，他自己的财富也随着选举结果而飙升。根据彭博亿万富翁指数，在大选后的几天里，特斯拉的股价飙升使他的净资产增加了500亿美元。此前，马斯克管理着包括X和Space X在内的六家公司的帝国，在竞争激烈的众议院选举中，他在特朗普和共和党人身上花费了1.3亿多美元。莱坎德表示，他认为特朗普效应约占特斯拉目前300多美元股价的三分之一。“所以现在特斯拉的股票更像是一种押注，看特朗普能在多大程度上帮助埃隆。”他说。

做空特斯拉的对冲基金刚刚损失了50多亿美元

Sensex

German ZEW Economic Confidence Deteriorates

Thai Stock Market Poised To Extend Losing Streak

“结束美联储”：特朗普当选后埃隆·马斯克支持让总统干预美联储的计划

前美国财长姆努钦表示：特朗普的首要任务将是减税、制裁伊朗和征收关税

日本上季度两次干预汇市以阻止日元跌破160日元的38年低点

做空特斯拉的对冲基金刚刚损失了50多亿美元

Sensex

Please sign in

Trader

Crude oil, focus on resistance at $70.6-71.5 above and support at $69.3-68.5 below.

Today, the rebound in gold trading is mainly driven by short selling, supplemented by buying during a pullback. The short-term focus is on the resistance line of 2620-2625 above, and the short-term focus is on the support line of 2600-2598 below.

Buy more directly near the current gold price of 2617, with targets of 2642, 2650, and 2664; If three points of 2642, 2650, and 2664 are given for the first time, short selling is allowed; If you buy more in batches around three o'clock on 2614, 2611, and 2605;

Today's gold trading strategy: Short selling near 2630-2628, stop loss at 2636, target at 2620-2610. Suggest buying long at 2610-2612, stop loss at 2505, target at 2620-2625;

Gold first fell close to 2602 or 2594 and bought long, then rose close to 2624 or yesterday's high and sold short. Crude oil still tends to fluctuate mainly today, buying long below 68.8 or yesterday's low, and selling short above yesterday's high or 70.7.

Today, gold is mainly focused on rebound short selling, with a short-term focus on the resistance line of 2628-2633. If it does not break through, short selling can be done. The short-term focus below is on the first-line support of 2600-2595, and it is advisable to buy more lightly.

Short term focus on the resistance line of 70.5-71.0 above crude oil, and short-term focus on the support line of 68.4-67.9 below.

Tags

做空特斯拉的对冲基金刚刚损失了50多亿美元

Sensex

German ZEW Economic Confidence Deteriorates

Thai Stock Market Poised To Extend Losing Streak

“结束美联储”：特朗普当选后 埃隆·马斯克支持让总统干预美联储的计划

前美国财长姆努钦表示：特朗普的首要任务将是减税、制裁伊朗和征收关税

日本上季度两次干预汇市 以阻止日元跌破160日元的38年低点

做空特斯拉的对冲基金刚刚损失了50多亿美元

Sensex

Please sign in

Trader

Crude oil, focus on resistance at $70.6-71.5 above and support at $69.3-68.5 below.

Today, the rebound in gold trading is mainly driven by short selling, supplemented by buying during a pullback. The short-term focus is on the resistance line of 2620-2625 above, and the short-term focus is on the support line of 2600-2598 below.

Buy more directly near the current gold price of 2617, with targets of 2642, 2650, and 2664; If three points of 2642, 2650, and 2664 are given for the first time, short selling is allowed; If you buy more in batches around three o'clock on 2614, 2611, and 2605;

Today's gold trading strategy: Short selling near 2630-2628, stop loss at 2636, target at 2620-2610. Suggest buying long at 2610-2612, stop loss at 2505, target at 2620-2625;

Gold first fell close to 2602 or 2594 and bought long, then rose close to 2624 or yesterday's high and sold short. Crude oil still tends to fluctuate mainly today, buying long below 68.8 or yesterday's low, and selling short above yesterday's high or 70.7.

Today, gold is mainly focused on rebound short selling, with a short-term focus on the resistance line of 2628-2633. If it does not break through, short selling can be done. The short-term focus below is on the first-line support of 2600-2595, and it is advisable to buy more lightly.

Short term focus on the resistance line of 70.5-71.0 above crude oil, and short-term focus on the support line of 68.4-67.9 below.

Tags

关注我们的公众号

“结束美联储”：特朗普当选后埃隆·马斯克支持让总统干预美联储的计划

日本上季度两次干预汇市以阻止日元跌破160日元的38年低点