英镑跳涨因交易员预计英国央行明年之前不会再降息fxcue.com

英镑上涨，原因是交易员减少了对英国央行今年进一步放松货币政策的押注，英国政府支出增加给价格压力的前景蒙上了阴影。英镑上涨1%，至1.3009美元，这是自9月以来的最大单日涨幅，因为政策制定者周四投票决定按预期降息25个基点。这一涨幅主要是由美元的广泛抛售推动的，几乎抹去了美国总统大选后的跌幅。英国央行官员表示，如果英国经济像预期的那样发展，借贷成本可能会继续逐步下降，这证实了市场定价，即这是2024年的最后一次降息。英国央行还警告称，英国政府上周宣布的额外支出计划，将把通胀推高至多0.5个百分点。“英国央行的鹰派降息可能帮助英镑收复部分失地，尤其是兑日元、瑞郎和欧元等低收益货币。”法国农业信贷银行（Credit Agricole）G10外汇研究主管瓦伦丁·马里诺夫（Valentin Marinov）表示。英镑兑美元汇率“应继续受美元走势的影响”。英国财政大臣雷切尔·里夫斯（Rachel Reeves） 10月30日的预算和唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）当选美国总统，使英国央行进一步放松货币政策的道路变得复杂。英国现在计划每年支出700亿英镑（904亿美元），其中近一半是通过借贷融资。特朗普威胁要在新的全球贸易战中提高关税。市场目前预计，英国央行12月再次降息25个基点的可能性约为15%，低于降息前的25%。再往前看，互换意味着2025年还会有两次降息，第三次降息的可能性很大。这低于欧洲央行和美联储的预期，后者于周四晚些时候宣布降息25个基点。摩根大通资产管理公司（J.P. Morgan Asset Management）全球市场分析师扎拉·诺克斯（Zara Nokes）在谈到英国央行时表示：“最近的政治发展影响了降息步伐。”“英国经济目前正与一些交叉趋势作斗争，这使得经济增长和通胀前景高度不确定。”

英镑跳涨因交易员预计英国央行明年之前不会再降息

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英镑跳涨因交易员预计英国央行明年之前不会再降息

U.S. Dollar Strengthens After Strong Retail Sales Data

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Buy directly near gold 2590, target 2618-2627-2643; If you place a sell order near the three o'clock mark of 2618, 2627, and 2643 for the first time; If given around 2586 and 2578, you can buy in batches;

Sell 2/10 of the positions in batches near 2595-2598 in the morning session of the gold market, with a stop loss of 6 points. Target around 2580-2570, break below the 2560 line;

Gold operation strategy: Sell gold at 2600-2606, stop loss at 2612, target at the 2560-2563 line, break through at 2548-53;

Gold trading strategy: Buy at 2580 in the Asian and European markets, stop loss at 2573, target at 2590-2593; Under pressure in the European and American markets, sell at 2600 with a stop loss of 2597 and a target of 2580;

Crude oil finally fell sharply last Friday, falling below the key support level of 67.6. Today, it rebounded and sold at this level. In terms of operations, crude oil rebounded and sold around 67.6.

Spot gold trading strategy today: sell 2597-2600, stop loss 2609, target at 2585-2577.

EURUSD, XAUUSD profit close trading

Today's gold trading stopped losses, we will continue tomorrow.

Tags

英镑跳涨 因交易员预计英国央行明年之前不会再降息

CAC 40 Drifts Lower As Powell Dashes Rate-cut Hopes

U.S. Business Inventories Inch Up Slightly Less Than Expected In September

DAX Slides On Rate Woes; Evotec Shares Jump 18%

美联储降息25个基点 鲍威尔称特朗普不能合法解雇他

“结束美联储”：特朗普当选后 埃隆·马斯克支持让总统干预美联储的计划

美联储的卡什卡利表示：如果特朗普的关税引发全球贸易“针锋相对” 可能会让通胀再次升温

英镑跳涨 因交易员预计英国央行明年之前不会再降息

U.S. Dollar Strengthens After Strong Retail Sales Data

Please sign in

Trader

Buy directly near gold 2590, target 2618-2627-2643; If you place a sell order near the three o'clock mark of 2618, 2627, and 2643 for the first time; If given around 2586 and 2578, you can buy in batches;

Sell 2/10 of the positions in batches near 2595-2598 in the morning session of the gold market, with a stop loss of 6 points. Target around 2580-2570, break below the 2560 line;

Gold operation strategy: Sell gold at 2600-2606, stop loss at 2612, target at the 2560-2563 line, break through at 2548-53;

Gold trading strategy: Buy at 2580 in the Asian and European markets, stop loss at 2573, target at 2590-2593; Under pressure in the European and American markets, sell at 2600 with a stop loss of 2597 and a target of 2580;

Crude oil finally fell sharply last Friday, falling below the key support level of 67.6. Today, it rebounded and sold at this level. In terms of operations, crude oil rebounded and sold around 67.6.

Spot gold trading strategy today: sell 2597-2600, stop loss 2609, target at 2585-2577.

EURUSD, XAUUSD profit close trading

Today's gold trading stopped losses, we will continue tomorrow.

Tags

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英镑跳涨因交易员预计英国央行明年之前不会再降息

美联储降息25个基点鲍威尔称特朗普不能合法解雇他

“结束美联储”：特朗普当选后埃隆·马斯克支持让总统干预美联储的计划

英镑跳涨因交易员预计英国央行明年之前不会再降息