The United States is actively promoting the ceasefire negotiations in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, but the Russian side said it needs to wait for more details before responding, showing a cautious attitude of "no rabbits, no hawks". US Secretary of State Marco Rubio hopes to reach a ceasefire agreement within a few days, while the Kremlin emphasizes that any agreement must take into account Russia's progress and concerns. Although Kiev expressed support for the ceasefire proposal during the Saudi talks, Russia's tough stance and Ukraine's strategic needs have made the negotiation prospects full of uncertainty.

US mediation and Russia's caution

US Secretary of State Rubio stated that he hopes to reach a ceasefire agreement within a few days and emphasized that after the ceasefire, both sides should cease all hostile actions and start negotiations. US President Trump also expressed optimism about the prospect of a ceasefire, stating that he has received "positive information". However, the Kremlin has reservations about this, stating that it is waiting for the United States to provide more details and emphasizing that any agreement must consider Russia's interests and progress.

Russian President Putin recently visited the Kursk region, marking his first visit since the Ukrainian military occupied some of the region's territory. This move is seen as a symbol of Russia taking the initiative in the conflict. At the same time, the Kiev military's foothold within Russian territory is precarious, and Ukraine hopes to use this bargaining chip to push for peace talks.

Details of ceasefire proposal and reactions from all parties

The United States proposed a 30 day ceasefire during the Saudi talks and agreed to resume weapons supply and intelligence sharing with Ukraine. The Kremlin stated that it is studying the outcome of the meeting and waiting for detailed information from the United States. Russian senior sources emphasized that any agreement must address Russia's concerns and acknowledge its progress in the conflict.

During his visit to Ireland, Rubio stated that the United States hopes Russia will unconditionally accept a ceasefire, but if the answer is negative, it will help Washington gain a clearer understanding of the Kremlin's intentions. He also pointed out that Europe must participate in providing security guarantees for Ukraine, and sanctions against Russia will be part of the negotiations.

On the European front, countries such as the UK and France are accelerating the formation of an alliance to support Ukraine. British Defense Secretary Hilley stated that approximately 15 countries have expressed interest in this matter. This shows that Europe's role in the Russia-Ukraine conflict is gradually strengthening.

Ukraine's Position and Future Prospects

Ukrainian President Zelensky expressed satisfaction with the outcome of the Saudi talks, calling it "constructive" and believing that a 30 day ceasefire agreement could lay the foundation for a broader peace agreement. However, Putin has repeatedly stated that although he is willing to negotiate, he will not make significant concessions on territorial issues and has demanded that Ukraine abandon its ambition to join NATO.

Konstantin Kosachev, Chairman of the International Affairs Committee of the Russian Parliament, emphasized that any agreement must reflect the reality on the front line. This indicates that Russia's position on the ceasefire issue remains firm and will not easily compromise.

summarize

The mediation of the United States in the Russia-Ukraine conflict brought hope for a ceasefire, but Russia's cautious attitude made this process full of uncertainty. The achievement of a ceasefire agreement not only requires active promotion from the United States, but also must meet Russia's core interests and receive support from Europe. In the future, the trend of the Russia-Ukraine conflict will depend on whether all parties can find a balance in the game, and the final conclusion of the ceasefire agreement will also become the focus of the international community.

The achievement of the Russia Ukraine ceasefire agreement may put pressure on gold prices in the short term, as it alleviates market risk aversion and may lower inflation expectations. However, the fragility of the ceasefire agreement and the long-term existence of geopolitical risks mean that the safe haven nature of gold will still be supported. Investors need to closely monitor the progress of the ceasefire agreement, the trend of the US dollar, and the dynamics of the energy market to determine the short-term and long-term trends of gold prices.