美联储官员担心他们能在多大程度上降低利率fxcue.com

美联储几位官员周三重申，他们对美联储需要降息到何种程度深感不确定，这突显出政策制定者在试图确定合适的环境以保持经济平稳发展方面面临的困难。“虽然现在是开始放松货币政策限制的时候了，但利率将进一步下降多少，或最终可能在何处落定，仍有待观察。”堪萨斯城联邦储备银行行长杰夫·施密德（Jeff Schmid）在堪萨斯城和达拉斯联邦储备银行联合主办的能源会议上发表讲话称。像施密德这样的言论正成为美联储官员的口头禅。许多人表示，他们认为中性利率——既不推动也不抑制经济增长的利率水平——自疫情以来可能已经上升。但没有人对它的位置表示出信心。“重要的是，中性利率的不确定性也有所上升，或许是因为经济的结构性变化是最近才出现的，需要时间来全面评估。”达拉斯联邦储备银行行长洛里·洛根（Lorie Logan）在同一会议上的另一场讲话中表示。这种不确定性给美联储官员带来了沉重的压力，因为超过中性水平将有可能重新引发通胀。这可能会使他们更加谨慎，并可能暂停降息周期。洛根表示，“广泛参考的模型”将中性联邦基金利率设定在2.74%至4.6%之间。美联储政策利率的中点目前正处于该区间的顶端。她补充说，她相信更多的降息即将到来，但美联储应该“在这一点上谨慎行事”。在一份报告显示10月份通胀基本符合经济学家的预期之后，周三的美联储发言人也普遍表示，相信通胀仍在朝着该央行2%的目标下行。“目前，我认为通胀正朝着正确的方向发展。我对此有信心，但我们需要等待。”明尼阿波利斯联邦储备银行行长尼尔·卡什卡利（Neel Kashkari）在接受彭博电视台采访时表示，“在我们做出任何决定之前，我们还有一个月或六周的时间来分析数据。”卡什卡利周二表示，从现在到美联储12月会议期间的通胀数据意外上升，可能会让他暂停支持再次降息25个基点。美联储在9月份将基准利率下调了0.5个百分点，本月又下调了0.25个百分点。周三公布的消费者价格数据显示，剔除食品和能源成本的核心CPI指数连续第三个月上涨0.3%。整体CPI较上年同期上涨2.6%，这是自今年3月以来首次出现同比增长。新数据公布后，投资者适度增加了对美联储12月会议再次降息的押注。圣路易斯联邦储备银行行长阿尔贝托·穆塞勒姆（Alberto Musalem）在孟菲斯发表讲话时表示，美联储的通胀和就业目标在视线之内，但他强调，在物价涨幅仍高于美联储2%的目标时，官员们应该保持“适度限制”的政策。他说：“在我的基准情景中，根据目前的信息，我预计通货膨胀率将在中期向2%靠拢。”但他补充说，在考虑进一步降息时，官员们应该“审慎而耐心地”评估即将到来的经济数据。在讲话后的问答环节中，穆塞勒姆表示，最近的信息显示，通胀可能在下行道路上停滞不前，甚至走高的风险已经上升。他说，这些数据表明，美国经济“比以往更强劲，或许在实质上更强劲”，而且几项通胀指标“略有上升”。不过，他说，美联储的政策定位良好。

美联储官员担心他们能在多大程度上降低利率

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美联储官员担心他们能在多大程度上降低利率

美国10月份年通货膨胀率达到2.6% 符合预期

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12/27 Gold Day Short term Strategy Reference:1. First fall back, first see around 2623. Short buy again, lose 2615, target at 2643-2655-2673! 2. Rush high for the first time. Short sell at any time around 2655-58, with a loss of 2660. Target at 2643-2633-2623!

Buy long for spot gold at 2628 or 24, and sell short when it first rises close to 2644 or 2654. Last night, buy long around 2621 and sell short around 2639. Crude oil prices have increased from over 70 to 70.7, but short selling around 71 has not been achieved.

Buy near gold 2622, protect 2612, target 2634-2642;

Today's spot gold is in the short-term range of 2640-2620; Low absorption and high selling within the range; If it stabilizes at 2640-2645, it is necessary to buy long in the short term with a bullish trend; 2640-2645 is the position of the strong weak boundary point;

Today's spot gold operation is considering a pullback layout, with buying long orders as the main strategy and short selling high as a supplement. The upper focus is on the resistance of $2640-2657, and the lower focus is on the support of $2622-2613.

Last Friday's long gold trading took profit, and today's two short selling transactions also took profit, perfect

Buy more directly near the current gold price of 2626, with targets of 2642, 2650, and 2664; If three points of 2642, 2650, and 2664 are given for the first time, short selling is allowed; If you buy more in batches around three o'clock on 2623, 2620, and 2614;

Gold has emerged from the convergence triangle, and you can buy long after the afternoon rebound. Pay attention to the support levels of 2620 and 2616 below, and the pressure level of 2633 above! Buy long near gold 2622 and 2618, stop loss 2612, target 2633-40

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﻿美联储官员担心他们能在多大程度上降低利率

Canadian Shares Notably Lower

澳大利亚10月就业增长放缓 失业率保持在4.1%不变

盈透证券创始人称：预测市场提供了“理性”的答案

巴西央行在实际抛售中进入外汇市场

市场对特朗普交易的定价是完美的 这就是为什么这可能是一个问题

随着特朗普的胜利将加密货币总市值推高至3万亿美元 狗狗币的价值超过了福特

﻿美联储官员担心他们能在多大程度上降低利率

﻿美国10月份年通货膨胀率达到2.6% 符合预期

Please sign in

Trader

12/27 Gold Day Short term Strategy Reference:1. First fall back, first see around 2623. Short buy again, lose 2615, target at 2643-2655-2673! 2. Rush high for the first time. Short sell at any time around 2655-58, with a loss of 2660. Target at 2643-2633-2623!

Buy long for spot gold at 2628 or 24, and sell short when it first rises close to 2644 or 2654. Last night, buy long around 2621 and sell short around 2639. Crude oil prices have increased from over 70 to 70.7, but short selling around 71 has not been achieved.

Buy near gold 2622, protect 2612, target 2634-2642;

Today's spot gold is in the short-term range of 2640-2620; Low absorption and high selling within the range; If it stabilizes at 2640-2645, it is necessary to buy long in the short term with a bullish trend; 2640-2645 is the position of the strong weak boundary point;

Today's spot gold operation is considering a pullback layout, with buying long orders as the main strategy and short selling high as a supplement. The upper focus is on the resistance of $2640-2657, and the lower focus is on the support of $2622-2613.

Last Friday's long gold trading took profit, and today's two short selling transactions also took profit, perfect

Buy more directly near the current gold price of 2626, with targets of 2642, 2650, and 2664; If three points of 2642, 2650, and 2664 are given for the first time, short selling is allowed; If you buy more in batches around three o'clock on 2623, 2620, and 2614;

Gold has emerged from the convergence triangle, and you can buy long after the afternoon rebound. Pay attention to the support levels of 2620 and 2616 below, and the pressure level of 2633 above! Buy long near gold 2622 and 2618, stop loss 2612, target 2633-40

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美联储官员担心他们能在多大程度上降低利率

澳大利亚10月就业增长放缓失业率保持在4.1%不变

市场对特朗普交易的定价是完美的这就是为什么这可能是一个问题

随着特朗普的胜利将加密货币总市值推高至3万亿美元狗狗币的价值超过了福特

美联储官员担心他们能在多大程度上降低利率

美国10月份年通货膨胀率达到2.6% 符合预期