高盛表示特朗普的减税政策可能会在未来两年将标准普尔500指数的收益提高20%fxcue.com

高盛（Goldman Sachs）表示，美国候任总统唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）提出的减税计划可能会使标准普尔500指数的收益增加20%以上。这家投资银行的策略师认为，标普500指数的每股收益在未来两年有望增长20%左右。高盛预测2024年标准普尔500指数成份股公司全年每股收益为241美元，2025年增长11%，次年增长7%，达到每股288美元。但这家投资银行在上周五的一份报告中表示，如果特朗普削减企业税收，这些目标可能会被超越，并补充说，最新的选举结果增加了其预测的上行潜力。“税收改革是一个上行风险。”该公司表示。当选总统特朗普在竞选中将法定国内企业税率从目前的21%降至15%。我们估计，在其他条件相同的情况下，国内法定税率每降低1个百分点，标准普尔500指数成分股每股收益的增幅将略低于1%。”放松金融领域监管的举措可能会带来额外收益。在特朗普获得第二任期后，上周三美国股市大幅上涨。美国银行（Bank of America）表示，交易员向美国股市注入了200亿美元，创下5个月来最大的单日股票购买热潮，每周流入金融基金的资金达到29亿美元，是有记录以来最大的单日资金流入。不过，高盛表示，特朗普征收高额关税的计划对企业盈利构成了风险。其策略师估计，美国实际关税税率每提高5个百分点，就可能使标准普尔500指数成分股每股收益增幅减少多达2%。该公司认为，特朗普将对美国进口商品征收10%至20%的全面关税的几率为40%。“在2018-2019年的贸易冲突期间，企业通常能够将关税成本转嫁给客户。”策略师们写道，他们指的是特朗普在第一个任期内与中国的贸易战。“然而，即使这种情况再次发生，关税也可能通过消费者支出减弱、对美国出口产品征收报复性关税以及不确定性增加而减少收益。”经济学家将特朗普的经济计划描述为通货膨胀，并表示他的政策，包括他的关税计划，可能会推高利率。从长期来看，高盛预计标普500指数未来10年的回报率将平平无奇。策略师们在上个月的一份报告中说，部分原因是利率预期上升，以及估值过高和市场集中度高等因素。

高盛表示特朗普的减税政策可能会在未来两年将标准普尔500指数的收益提高20%

澳大利亚10月就业增长放缓失业率保持在4.1%不变

巴西央行在实际抛售中进入外汇市场

市场对特朗普交易的定价是完美的这就是为什么这可能是一个问题

随着特朗普的胜利将加密货币总市值推高至3万亿美元狗狗币的价值超过了福特

美联储官员担心他们能在多大程度上降低利率

巴菲特的伯克希尔正被打包成杠杆ETF

高盛表示特朗普的减税政策可能会在未来两年将标准普尔500指数的收益提高20%

盈透证券创始人称：预测市场提供了“理性”的答案

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12/27 Gold Day Short term Strategy Reference:1. First fall back, first see around 2623. Short buy again, lose 2615, target at 2643-2655-2673! 2. Rush high for the first time. Short sell at any time around 2655-58, with a loss of 2660. Target at 2643-2633-2623!

Buy long for spot gold at 2628 or 24, and sell short when it first rises close to 2644 or 2654. Last night, buy long around 2621 and sell short around 2639. Crude oil prices have increased from over 70 to 70.7, but short selling around 71 has not been achieved.

Buy near gold 2622, protect 2612, target 2634-2642;

Today's spot gold is in the short-term range of 2640-2620; Low absorption and high selling within the range; If it stabilizes at 2640-2645, it is necessary to buy long in the short term with a bullish trend; 2640-2645 is the position of the strong weak boundary point;

Today's spot gold operation is considering a pullback layout, with buying long orders as the main strategy and short selling high as a supplement. The upper focus is on the resistance of $2640-2657, and the lower focus is on the support of $2622-2613.

Last Friday's long gold trading took profit, and today's two short selling transactions also took profit, perfect

Buy more directly near the current gold price of 2626, with targets of 2642, 2650, and 2664; If three points of 2642, 2650, and 2664 are given for the first time, short selling is allowed; If you buy more in batches around three o'clock on 2623, 2620, and 2614;

Gold has emerged from the convergence triangle, and you can buy long after the afternoon rebound. Pay attention to the support levels of 2620 and 2616 below, and the pressure level of 2633 above! Buy long near gold 2622 and 2618, stop loss 2612, target 2633-40

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高盛表示 特朗普的减税政策可能会在未来两年将标准普尔500指数的收益提高20%

澳大利亚10月就业增长放缓 失业率保持在4.1%不变

巴西央行在实际抛售中进入外汇市场

市场对特朗普交易的定价是完美的 这就是为什么这可能是一个问题

随着特朗普的胜利将加密货币总市值推高至3万亿美元 狗狗币的价值超过了福特

﻿美联储官员担心他们能在多大程度上降低利率

巴菲特的伯克希尔正被打包成杠杆ETF

高盛表示 特朗普的减税政策可能会在未来两年将标准普尔500指数的收益提高20%

盈透证券创始人称：预测市场提供了“理性”的答案

Please sign in

Trader

12/27 Gold Day Short term Strategy Reference:1. First fall back, first see around 2623. Short buy again, lose 2615, target at 2643-2655-2673! 2. Rush high for the first time. Short sell at any time around 2655-58, with a loss of 2660. Target at 2643-2633-2623!

Buy long for spot gold at 2628 or 24, and sell short when it first rises close to 2644 or 2654. Last night, buy long around 2621 and sell short around 2639. Crude oil prices have increased from over 70 to 70.7, but short selling around 71 has not been achieved.

Buy near gold 2622, protect 2612, target 2634-2642;

Today's spot gold is in the short-term range of 2640-2620; Low absorption and high selling within the range; If it stabilizes at 2640-2645, it is necessary to buy long in the short term with a bullish trend; 2640-2645 is the position of the strong weak boundary point;

Today's spot gold operation is considering a pullback layout, with buying long orders as the main strategy and short selling high as a supplement. The upper focus is on the resistance of $2640-2657, and the lower focus is on the support of $2622-2613.

Last Friday's long gold trading took profit, and today's two short selling transactions also took profit, perfect

Buy more directly near the current gold price of 2626, with targets of 2642, 2650, and 2664; If three points of 2642, 2650, and 2664 are given for the first time, short selling is allowed; If you buy more in batches around three o'clock on 2623, 2620, and 2614;

Gold has emerged from the convergence triangle, and you can buy long after the afternoon rebound. Pay attention to the support levels of 2620 and 2616 below, and the pressure level of 2633 above! Buy long near gold 2622 and 2618, stop loss 2612, target 2633-40

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高盛表示特朗普的减税政策可能会在未来两年将标准普尔500指数的收益提高20%

澳大利亚10月就业增长放缓失业率保持在4.1%不变

市场对特朗普交易的定价是完美的这就是为什么这可能是一个问题

随着特朗普的胜利将加密货币总市值推高至3万亿美元狗狗币的价值超过了福特

美联储官员担心他们能在多大程度上降低利率

高盛表示特朗普的减税政策可能会在未来两年将标准普尔500指数的收益提高20%